Click Here For Mea Culpa: I Am a Pollster, Not a Predictor
Mea Culpa: I Am a Pollster, Not a Predictor: "Why did Kerry lose? I think several factors explain it. First, he wasted too much time talking about his military background and trying to persuade the 48 percent of the voters who would never vote for him that he could handle the war on terror. In this regard, he wasted his own convention, where he should have rallied his own base and set himself up for the negative campaigning that would raise all of the important questions about his past, his judgment and his persona.
Second, he didn't say anything to his base. Principally, Kerry's core constituency was against the war in Iraq. While the senator changed his focus to more criticism of the war, the fact was that he supported the president, opposed funding for the troops, and never offered an alternative scenario. He tried to be all over the place and ended up no place at all.
Lastly, Kerry just didn't connect with voters. This isn't just the obvious criticism about his personality. It is metaphoric of the entire Democratic Party, which simply doesn't understand the religiosity of most Americans, the needs of the heartland that go well beyond bread and butter. How else to explain the many voters who told us that they have been left behind by the economy and still voted for the incumbent?"
Second, he didn't say anything to his base. Principally, Kerry's core constituency was against the war in Iraq. While the senator changed his focus to more criticism of the war, the fact was that he supported the president, opposed funding for the troops, and never offered an alternative scenario. He tried to be all over the place and ended up no place at all.
Lastly, Kerry just didn't connect with voters. This isn't just the obvious criticism about his personality. It is metaphoric of the entire Democratic Party, which simply doesn't understand the religiosity of most Americans, the needs of the heartland that go well beyond bread and butter. How else to explain the many voters who told us that they have been left behind by the economy and still voted for the incumbent?"
posted by Robert at 7:29 PM
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